Several of my co-workers first wanted, then demanded that I come clean this week and offer up my 2011 predictions for the Minnesota Vikings.
Most savored every loss last year, especially when after just a couple games, the 14-2 mark I predicted last season turned out to be a bigger joke than the team’s own 6-10 finish.
So, with what little credibility I have left in my 30 years of watching this team, I’m going to be a more realistic and not let my “Please, can this team just play in the Super Bowl once (that I can remember)” attitude take charge.
By the numbers, the Vikings have a tougher schedule than last season. This year, opponents had a 132-124 record (12th toughest in the NFL) compared to 129-127 in 2010.
A few things going for the Vikings this season:
1. The team still employs all-universe running back Adrian Peterson, who undoubtedly will be running for the cash beyond Chris Johnson’s deal with Tennessee. Can he be durable enough to pound out 1,400 yards? If healthy, he should.
2. The freshly minted contract of Chad Greenway and the stability of the Henderson brothers at linebacker should be a strength this season. They’re talented enough to help take the pressure off the line and the defensive backs early in the season until an overall identity is developed.
OK, now to the still-to-be-decided category:
1. Donovan McNabb. Like Brett Favre last season, he won’t have an ace receiver on the outside. McNabb can run hot and cold, and his production during his Philly days proves he can’t do it alone. Career-wise, he’s a perfect 2:1 in TD/INT rate, and last year’s debacle of a season with the Redskins (14 TD, 15 INT) shouldn’t be a sign of things to come, but …
2. Offensive line. Peterson must run left, straight and right and the Vikings must find a way to avoid that problem. Steve Hutchinson no longer has a proven tackle on his left side, and given Phil Loadholt’s problems last season at right tackle, nothing is certain there as well. While Peterson doesn’t need gaping holes to get going, McNabb can’t be getting drilled back there, either.
3. Coaching staff. Leslie Frazier had a full offseason to get his plans and new staff in place. And while this offense under Bill Musgrave has been tailored for the personnel on the field, I don’t see this team putting up 21 points routinely.
So, without further ado, here’s the Vikings 2011 season prediction:
Week 1: AT San Diego: L
Week 2: TAMPA BAY: W
Week 3: DETROIT: L
Week 4: AT Kansas City: L
Week 5: ARIZONA: W
Week 6: AT Chicago: L
Week 7: GREEN BAY: L
Week 8: AT Carolina: W
Week 9: Bye
Week 10: AT Green Bay: L
Week 11: OAKLAND: W
Week 12: AT Atlanta: L
Week 13: DENVER: L
Week 14: AT Detroit: W
Week 15: NEW ORLEANS: L
Week 16: AT Washington: W
Week 17: CHICAGO: L
Overall: 6-10
It’s hard to say if the Vikings are coming or going. The problem is, this team isn’t good enough to make the playoffs, but not bad enough that the aging stars are soon departing. The 2012 team could look and perform very much like this squad even if Christian Ponder takes over for any reason.
But every division goes through cycles with the salary cap. Still, the timing is terrible for the Vikings as the team fights to get a new stadium and its fan base. The league, and simply the NFC North, is just too tough to allow for a mediocre team to catch fire. They may lose more games than they’ll win, but will they be entertaining enough to at least maintain interest?